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Dec 10th
11:27 am
Early Box Office Estimates and Reviews  
I promise that the NYC post is coming soon. That is what I get for working and then going to see New Year's Eve two nights in a row (one was free or I wouldn't have gone twice, lol).

Early numbers indicated a high teens number for NYE. Variety originally reported:
Box office watchers peg the ensemble comedy's Friday take somewhere between $7 million and $8 million, which would position the Garry Marshall-helmed pic to bow in the high teens to low twenties for the weekend - slightly more modest than expectations in the low to mid twenties.

But as the evening returns came in, the Friday number sank and so did the weekend numbers. Nikki Finke on Deadline estimates (as of late last night) a $5.5 Friday and a $16 million weekend. Gitesh Pandya of Boxofficguru calls $5.1 Friday and a $14+ weekend. However that is still good enough for number one... though number one on the second (or possibly even the absolute) worst weekend of the year :/ To put it in perspective, most summer weekends this film would've been number 4 not number 1.

Obviously the film underperformed. I don't think it had a chance of doing as well as Valentine's Day which opened at a whopping $63 million but that was on Valentine's Day weekend and it was a four-day weekend to boot. But this is still massively underwhelming at half what this week's pre-release tracking estimated. Certainly WB was expecting $20 million at least (probably higher, more like the $27 million that He's Just Not That Into You managed) so they have to be sad pandas today. To me it seemed like promo really didn't kick into gear until too late... with only a couple weeks to build up interest. And maybe it was too early in the month, idk idk. But at least WB reportedly kept the budget down so overall I think it will make money but definitely not what was hoped for.

It doesn't help the reviews are dismal. On the plus side several critics have said Zac stands out, even if they are kind of bitter like Peter Travers, who after liking Zac in MAOW became pressed he's taking shitty roles. (I feel your pain Mr. Travers but keep a candle burning for the return to more interesting movies.) To be fair Travers' print review isn't quite so backhanded as his video/twitter comments - "Michelle Pfeiffer, looking dowdy (impossible!), quits her thankless secretary job to live! live! live! with the help of delivery guy Zac Efron, who delivers the film's one appealing performance." At least audiences seem to love Zac. And I didn't hear anyone at my theater say he was fat! In fact there was a lot of whistling for his first appearance on screen. One of my friends did say he hit the tanning booth too much. Though his makeup did improve after that scene. Later I may try to put some quotes together about critics on Zac for the film but paying attention to reviews is painful, lol.

My feelings on the film. It is exactly what you expect. And if you are particularly nostalgic about New Year's Eve as a holiday you will probably like it a smidge more, consequently I liked it more than Valentine's Day. I don't think critics were entirely fair. Overall is it a great film, absolutely not. Is it the worst film ever, not really. Most people can find something to enjoy and in fact I think that critics picked different storylines in the film they liked shows it does have appeal to many people which isn't a bad thing really, even if the stories are kind of shallowly dealt with. Pretty much everyone gets it right that there are just simply too many stories. It is funny to see what the critics take umbrage with when they don't have any real interest in the film. They can get stuck on the smallest things. But it is pretty bland and several plots didn't really hold up well even to a second viewing though I still liked the Zac parts and Seth Meyers and Jessica Biel were pretty funny (though oddly their story was unconnected to the other characters so maybe the most unnecessary subplot).

Anyway, as blacktreemedia said, Zac and Michelle's story could easily be its own movie. Several of her resolutions are just glossed over which is kind of disappointing. I do think Zac stands out. Partially because he is one of the few characters with energy. But he also just does well as a different kind of character than he's played before, which is nice. Most of his characters this upcoming year are very different than the ones we've seen before which is great for his development. Back to NYE - Worst moment overall: Hilary Swank's inspirational speech. Couldn't not laugh either time I saw it. Best moment overall: Zac and Michelle (but mostly Zac) dancing. Thanks Harry Shum Jr for teaching him to Dougie.

Please feel free to talk about the film in comments... try to use the spoiler code: <table bgcolor="#000000" border="0"><tr><td>YOUR TEXT GOES HERE</td></tr></table>

This results in:
YOUR TEXT GOES HERE

But everyone be aware and warned, some spoilers may still show up.

Good times:
 
 
Mood: sleepysleepy
43 43 comments Comment
 
 
It's Audrey not Aubreyaudrey_za on December 10th, 2011 08:18 pm (UTC)
I mean with this love (because I know you typed up a whole post and detailed the numbers breakdown for us, which never goes unappreciated), but is it bad that I don't care how NYE performs?

It's not a sequel, but a lot of audiences still view it that way, especially with prior Valentine's Day cast members featured in the flick.

Perhaps 'not caring' isn't the right term, because that's too bad if the film winds up under performing (and ouch at possibly being the worst weekend of the year- that's not making me feel ANY better that I likely won't get to take in a showing until next week), but I don't see this as a hit or miss it just... is.

I was never under the impression Zac would go through movie making completely unscathed or devoid of possible red flags or question marks.
kleth on December 10th, 2011 11:04 pm (UTC)
Since Zac isn't the "star" and therefore won't be blamed, I share your box office indifference, with one exception: I would like many millions of people to see this just so they can get a likeable impression of Zac.
kleth on December 11th, 2011 03:22 pm (UTC)
Here's an example, from the IMBd discussion threads, of how NYE could begin to convert Zac haters into eventual fans, one small step at a time:

"As for Efron, I still think he's a douche, but he was okay in this movie"

It's Audrey not Aubreyaudrey_za on December 11th, 2011 12:34 am (UTC)
*I mean this with love
hunny miss (aka lets fead him to the gators)ehs_wildcats on December 11th, 2011 05:14 pm (UTC)
lol i'm not pressed it isn't doing well either. but like jeezbee i hoped that it would do well to make up for a crappy critical response. but yeah shame on wb for making it and shame on zac for participating... i mean, as always, i take heart that zac is getting new fans and did as well as he could with it and he got to play a completely different character but idk if it was worth sullying further his already lightweight cinematic reputation amongst critics and movie bloggers (esp with TLO right behind it). but w/e. he'll survive.